HYMAN MINSKY'S FINANCIAL FRAGILITY HYPOTHESIS STUDY APPLIED TO THE STATE OF MINAS GERAIS IN THE PERIOD 2008-2018

Authors

  • Cláudio Roberto Caríssimo Universidade Federal de Alfenas (Unifal) https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1586-7147
  • Rogério César Corgosinho Centro Universitário Una
  • Antônio Carlos dos Santos Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.21527/2237-6453.2021.54.218-233

Keywords:

Financial fragility, Minsky; Public sector; Minas Gerais

Abstract

The objective of this paper was to highlight the financing positions of the state of Minas Gerais from 2008 to 2018. According to Minsky's Financial Fragility Hypothesis, the way in which future flows of expected revenues are forecasted and realized, as opposed to expenses, reveals as a result financial positions of sufficiency, moderate restriction or complete insufficiency, named by hedge, speculative and ponzi, respectively. Studies on HFF are also adaptable to test the fragility of public finances, that is, the ability of a government to sustain its debts and other expenses. The database was the Budget Balance. Ponzi financing position was determined for the state in 2011-2017, speculative for 2008-2010 and 2018. It is considered relevant to use the Financial Fragility Hypothesis studies when applied to the public sector, and may be an instrument complementary analysis on the financial fragility of government entities, thus reinforcing its theoretical and empirical content.

 

Author Biographies

Cláudio Roberto Caríssimo, Universidade Federal de Alfenas (Unifal)

Mestre em Ciências Contábeis pela Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG). Doutorando em Administração pela Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA). Professor da Universidade Federal de Alfenas (Unifal). http://lattes.cnpq.br/1829785862285188. https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1586-7147. claudio.carissimo@unifal-mg.edu.br

Rogério César Corgosinho, Centro Universitário Una

Mestrando em Administração pela Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA). Professor do Centro Universitário UNA-MG. 

Antônio Carlos dos Santos, Universidade Federal de Lavras (UFLA)

Doutor em Administração pela Universidade de São Paulo (USP). Professor da Universidade Federal de Lavras (Ufla).

Published

2021-03-16

How to Cite

Caríssimo, C. R., Corgosinho, R. C., & Santos, A. C. dos. (2021). HYMAN MINSKY’S FINANCIAL FRAGILITY HYPOTHESIS STUDY APPLIED TO THE STATE OF MINAS GERAIS IN THE PERIOD 2008-2018. Development in Question Journal, 19(54), 218–233. https://doi.org/10.21527/2237-6453.2021.54.218-233